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2009 Burlington mayoral election: Difference between revisions

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2009 Burlington mayoral election (view source)

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|-
|Kurt Wright
|[[File:Republican Disc.svg|20x20px30x30px]] [[Republican Party]]
| align="right" |2,951
| align="right" |32.9%
| rowspan="3" |Ballots preferring Kiss, Wright, and Montroll advance to the second round.
|- ▼
|- {{Party shading/Vermont Progressive}}
|Bob Kiss
| [[File:BSicon exlBHF pinkMoose_icon_(Noun_Project).svg|20x20px30x30px]][[Vermont Progressive Party|Progressive Party]]
| align="right" |2,585
| align="right" |28.8%
|- ▼
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}}
| Andy Montroll
|[[File:Democratic Disc.svg|20x20px30x30px]] [[Democratic Party]]
| align="right" |
2,063
| align="right" | 23.0%
|-
|Dan Smith
|[[File:NeutralPartyPlaceholder.svg|30x30px]](independent)
| align="right" |1,306
| align="right" |14.5%
| rowspan="3" |Ballots preferring Smith, Simpson and the write-in candidate were distributed to Kiss, Wright, and Montroll in the second round according to the first remaining preference on these ballots.
|-
|James Simpson
|[[File:Green Disc.svg|20x20px30x30px]] [[Green Party]]
| align="right" |35
| align="right" |0.4%
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| colspan="2" |Write-in
| align="right" | 36
| align="right" | 0.4%
|-
| colspan="2" |''(exhausted pile)''
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|-
| colspan="2" |'''Totals'''
| align="right" | 8,980
| align="right" |100.0%
|}
Line 76:
pct. (%)
!Comment
|- ▼
|- {{Party shading/Republican}}
| Kurt Wright
|[[File:Republican Disc.svg|20x20px]] [[Republican Party]]
| align="right" | +343
| align="right" |3,294
| align="right" |36.7%
| rowspan="2" |Ballots preferring Kiss and Wright advanced to the third round.
|-
|Bob Kiss
|[[File:BSicon exlBHF pinkMoose_icon_(Noun_Project).svg|20x20px]][[Vermont Progressive Party|Progressive Party]]
| align="right" | +396
| align="right" |2,981
| align="right" |33.2%
|- ▼
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}}
|Andy Montroll
|[[File:Democratic Disc.svg|20x20px]] [[Democratic Party]]
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| align="right" |2,554
| align="right" |28.4%
| Ballots preferring Montroll were distributed to Kiss and Wright in the third round according to final remaining preference on these ballots.
|-
| colspan="2" |''(exhausted pile)''
| align="right" | +147
| align="right" |151
| align="right" | 1.7%
| rowspan="2" |
|-
| colspan="3" |'''Totals'''
| align="right" |8,980
| align="right" |100.0%
|}
 
=== Third round ===
In the third round, Montroll's ballots from the second round were distributed to Kiss and Wright. Since manytMontrollmany Montroll voters supported Kiss rather than Wright as their final remaining preference, Kiss pulled into the lead in the third round. Because 6.7% of voters didn't express a preference between Kiss and Wright (with their preferred candidate eliminated in prior rounds, and their ballots placed in the "exhausted pile"), Kiss prevailed over Wright with a plurality of 48.0%.
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! Candidate
!Party
!Transfers from
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|- {{Party shading/Vermont Progressive}}
|Bob Kiss
|[[File:BSicon exlBHF pinkMoose_icon_(Noun_Project).svg|20x20px]][[Vermont Progressive Party|Progressive Party]]
| align="right" | +1332
| align="right" |'''4,313'''
| align="right" |'''48.0%'''
|- {{Party shading/Republican}}
|Kurt Wright
| [[File:Republican Disc.svg|20x20px]] [[Republican Party]]
| align="right" | +767
| align="right" |4,061
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===Pairwise results===
This is the results of the Burlington, Vermont mayoral election of 2009 had they used a pairwise method such as the [[Copeland method]]:<ref name=":3">{{Cite web|url=https://bolson.org/~bolson/2009/20090303_burlington_vt_mayor.html|title=2009 Burlington Mayor IRV Failure|last=Olson|first=Brian|date=2009|website=bolson.org|access-date=1 October 2017|quote=This is an IRV failure. The IRV result is clearly not what people actually wanted. More people liked Montroll over Kiss than the other way around, but IRV elected the loser.}}</ref><ref name=":2">{{Cite web|url=http://electowiki.org/wiki/2009_Burlington,_Vermont_Mayoral_Election|title=2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election|website=Electowiki|language=en|access-date=2018-01-03}}</ref>
 
{| class="wikitable"
{{Burlington 2009 pairwise table}}
![[File:Democratic Disc.svg|60x60px]]
 
!Andy Montroll
([[Democratic Party]])
| colspan="5" |4 wins and no losses (4-0)
|'''4 Wins ↓'''
▲|-
![[File:Vermont Progressive Party Logo.svg|frameless|52x52px]]
!Bob Kiss
([[Vermont Progressive Party]])
| colspan="4" |3 wins, 1 loss (3-1)
|'''1 Loss''' →
↓ '''3 Wins'''
|4064 (Montroll) –
3476 (Kiss)
▲|-
![[File:Republican Disc.svg|60x60px]]
!Kurt Wright
([[Republican Party]])
| colspan="3" |2 wins, 2 losses (2-2)
|'''2 Losses''' →
'''2 Wins''' ↓
|4313 (Kiss) –
4061 (Wright)
|4597 (Montroll) –
3664 (Wright)
▲|-
![[File:NeutralPartyPlaceholder.svg|49x49px]]
!Dan Smith (Independent)
| colspan="2" |1 win, 3 losses (1-3)
|'''3 Losses''' →
'''1 Win''' ↓
|3971 (Wright) –
3793 (Smith)
|3944 (Kiss) –
3576 (Smith)
|4570 (Montroll) –
2997 (Smith)
▲|-
![[File:Green Disc.svg|60x60px]]
!James Simpson
([[Green Party]])
|0 wins, 4 losses (0-4)
|'''4 Losses''' →
|5570 (Smith) –
721 (Simpson)
|5270 (Wright) –
1310 (Simpson)
|5514 (Kiss) –
844 (Simpson)
|6262 (Montroll) –
591 (Simpson)
|}
This leads to an overall preference ranking of:<ref name=":2" />
 
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!
 
! Top preference
|-
|Kurt Wright (Republican)
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|-
|Bob Kiss (Progressive)
|2585
|-
|Andy Montroll (Democrat)
|2063
|-
|Dan Smith (Independent)
| 1306
|-
|James Simpson (Green)
|35
|-
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*Static PNG link: https://static.miraheze.org/electowikiwiki/thumb/4/4f/Burlington2009election-infosheet.png/900px-Burlington2009election-infosheet.png
 
==Links==
==Further analysis==▼
 
*[http://bolson.org/~bolson/2009/20090303_burlington_vt_mayor.html Brian Olson's analysis of the election]▼
===Raw data===
Raw data: [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election data]] ▼
Pairwise tallies for each of the candidates are available on the following subpages:
*[[User:RobLa/2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Kiss Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Bob Kiss (P) voters]]
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*[[User:RobLa/2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Smith Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Dan Smith (I) voters]]
*[[User:RobLa/2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Wright Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Kurt Wright (R) voters]]
▲Raw data: [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election data]]
 
===FootnotesVideos===
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p50fctZC6Bw Ranked Choice Ballots in Burlington] &mdash; creator: [https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC-a0XRd2fJanxybICJ5uz-w Sygnol]; date: August 12, 2019 "''Data visualization of Burlington Vermont's controversial 2009 Mayoral election, comparing results from the best known Ranked Choice Voting tabulation systems: Instant Runoff, Condorcet and Borda (Abbreviated version of the original video).''"
 
▲==Further=Offsite analysis===
▲*[http://bolson.org/~bolson/2009/20090303_burlington_vt_mayor.html Brian Olson's analysis of the election]
 
===References===
<references />
 
[[Category:IRV elections|Vermont]]
[[Category:Vermont]]
[[Category:Mayoral elections in the United States|Vermont]]
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