2009 Burlington mayoral election: Difference between revisions

In March 2009, the city of [[w:Burlington,_Vermont|Burlington, Vermont]] held a mayoral election. Progressive Bob Kiss was elected, despite a 54% majority of voters expressing a preference for Democrat Andy Montroll over Kiss.<ref name=":1">{{Cite web|url=http://scorevoting.net/Burlington.html|title=Burlington Vermont 2009 IRV mayoral election|last=Gierzynski|first=Anthony|last2=Hamilton|first2=Wes|date=March 2009|website=RangeVoting.org|archive-url=|archive-date=|dead-url=|access-date=1 October 2017|quote=Montroll was favored over Republican Kurt Wright 56% to 44% ... and over Progressive Bob Kiss 54% to 46% ... In other words, in voting terminology, Montroll was a 'beats-all winner,' also called a 'Condorcet winner' ... However, in the IRV election, Montroll came in third! ... voters preferred Montroll over every other candidate ... Montroll is the most-approved|last3=Smith|first3=Warren D.}}</ref><ref name=":8">{{Cite journal|last=Ornstein|first=Joseph T.|last2=Norman|first2=Robert Z.|date=2014-10-01|title=Frequency of monotonicity failure under Instant Runoff Voting: estimates based on a spatial model of elections|journal=Public Choice|language=en|volume=161|issue=1–2|pages=1–9|doi=10.1007/s11127-013-0118-2|issn=0048-5829|quote=Although the Democrat was the Condorcet winner (a majority of voters preferred him in all two way contests), he received the fewest first-place votes and so was eliminated ... 2009 mayoral election in Burlington, VT, which illustrates the key features of an upward monotonicity failure}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last=Lewyn|first=Michael|date=2012|title=Two Cheers for Instant Runoff Voting|url=|journal=Phoenix L. Rev.|language=en|volume=6|page=117|pages=|ssrn=2276015|quote=election where Democratic candidate for mayor was Condorcet winner but finished third behind Republican and 'Progressive'|via=}}</ref> As a result of the surprise outcome of the election, Burlington voters [[w:Instant-runoff_voting_in_the_United_States#2010_Burlington_repeal|narrowly voted to repeal IRV]], reverting to their [[Runoff voting|prior system of holding a runoff]] if no candidate receives over 40% of the vote.

 

{| class="wikitable"

|-

| colspan="5" |4 wins and no losses

|4 Wins ↓

|-

| colspan="4" |3 wins, 1 loss (3-1)

|1 Loss →

↓ 3 Wins

3476 (BK)

|-

| colspan="3" |2 wins, 2 losses (2-2)

|2 Losses →

|4313 (BK) –

4061 (KW)

3664 (KW)

|-

|3944 (BK) –

3576 (DS)

2997 (DS)

|-

|0 wins, 4 losses (0-4)

|4 Losses →

|5514 (BK) –

844 (JS)

591 (JS)

|}

 

Montroll was therefore preferred over Kiss by 54% of voters, preferred over Wright by 56% of voters, over Smith by 60%, and over Simpson by 91% of voters.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.electionscience.org/library/irv-and-core-support/|title=IRV and Core Support|website=The Center for Election Science|language=en-US|access-date=2019-12-04}}</ref><ref name=":9">{{cite web|url=http://rangevoting.org/Burlington.html|title=Burlington Vermont 2009 IRV mayoral election|website=RangeVoting.org|access-date=2016-04-01}}</ref>

 

==Results with Copeland and First-Past-the-Post==

** (fill me in)

 

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