Stable winner set: Difference between revisions

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##In the simplest model, voters have a certain quantity of "utility" for each candidate, and they strictly prefer set X over Y iff the sum of their utility for X is greater than the sum of their utility for Y. However, this definition, while simple, is problematic, because it can hinge on comparisons between "utilities" for winner sets of different sizes.
##Another possible model is to restrict direct comparison to winner sets of the same size. Thus, when comparing sets of different sizes, we use the rule: a voter strictly prefers set X of size x over a set Y of size y, where x≤y, iff: there is no set Z of size y, where X⊆Z⊆X∪Y, such that they strictly prefer Z over Y. Using the same "utility sum" model as above, this would be equivalent to: they strictly prefer X over Y iff they strictly prefer X over any size-x subset of Y. For instance, they'd prefer the two "Greek" winners {Γ, Δ} over the three "Latin" winners {A, B, C} iff they prefer the two Greeks over any two of the Latins.
##Another possible variation is "voters strictly prefer a winner set iff they receive more of their preferred candidates, counting from the top."{{Clarify|reason=What does "counting from the top" mean? A solid coalition?|date=May 2024}}
#The formula V(S,S′)/n >= K′/K is analogous to a (Hare) quota; formulas analogous to other quotas may be used instead.
 
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Each group of voters should feel that their preferences are sufficiently respected, so that they are not incentivized to deviate and choose an alternative winner set of smaller weight. In the common scenario that we do not know beforehand the exact nature of the demographic coalitions, we adopt the robust solution concept which requires the winner set to be agnostic to any potential subset of voters deviating. This means that the requirement of a stable winner set is equivalent to but more robust than the concept of [[Proportional representation]].
 
This is a more strictstricter definition thanof theproportionality Harethan Quota[[Proportionality Criterionfor whichSolid isCoalitions]], typicallythe whatcommon is used as a stand-indefinition for Proportionalnonpartisan Representation in nonranked-partisanchoice systems since there is no universally accepted definition. The existing definitions of [[Proportional Representation]] are unclear and conflicting. A clear compromise exists as the concept [[Justifiedjustified representation]], which is implied by winner set stability.
 
==Example==
 
Let's look at a common example. Let's say we have two voting blocs: group A and B. A makes up 79% of the population and B 21%. In a 5 five-winner election with max score of 5 and 100 voters, Group A will score all the A candidates 5 and the B candidates 0. Group B will do the opposite.
 
The best winner set for group A is {A1,A2,A3,A4,A5}. This is the bloc voting answer and is not the proportional answer. So let's prove it is not stable.
 
S = {A1,A2,A3,A4,A5}
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A set being in the core is not sufficient for "fairness", in the sense that core sets may exist where a quota of the voters gets all its approved candidates elected, even though nobody outside of that group of voters approved of them. This can be seen in the following example by Peters ''et al.'':<ref name="Peters Pierczyński Shah Skowron 2021 pp. 5656–5663">{{cite journal | last=Peters | first=Dominik | last2=Pierczyński | first2=Grzegorz | last3=Shah | first3=Nisarg | last4=Skowron | first4=Piotr | title=Market-Based Explanations of Collective Decisions | journal=Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence | volume=35 | issue=6 | date=2021-05-18 | issn=2374-3468 | pages=5656–5663 | url=https://www.cs.toronto.edu/~nisarg/papers/priceability.pdf | access-date=2022-06-15}}</ref>
 
Let <math>L</math> be some integer and consider a multi-winner election with <math>n=kL</math> voters and <math>k</math> seats,. and letLet the voters be split into factions who votevoting the following way:
 
* Voters <math>1 ...\dots L </math> approve candidates <math>c_1</math> ... <math>c_k</math>.
* <math>k-1</math> factions of <math>L-1</math> voters each approve a candidate nobody else approves: <math>c_{k+1},\ldots,c_{2k-1}</math>
* finallyFinally, <math>k-1</math> voters each approve a candidate nobody else approves: <math>c_{2k},\ldots,c_{3k-2}</math>.
 
Then the set <math>W_1 = \{c_1,\ldots,c_k\}</math> is in the core even though it denies representation to everybody but the first <math>L</math> voters. One can argue that the set <math>W_2 = \{c_1,c_{k+1},\ldots,c_{2k-1}\}</math> is a much fairer choice.
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The set <math>c_1, c_2, c_3</math> is in the core but <math>c_1, c_4, c_5</math> would arguably be more fair (and is the one elected by e.g. [[proportional approval voting]]).
 
== Droop version==
If the formula V(S,S′)/n >= K′/K is modified to instead be V(S,S′)/n >= K′/'''(K+1),''' (it may be appropriate to make it only a > rather than an >=, for reasons to be explained below), then this makes stable sets' definition of proportionality become more similar to other definitions of PR that use Droop [[QuotaDroop quota|Droop quotas]]s (or more specifically, Hagenbach-Bischoff Quotas) rather than [[Hare quota|Hare [[Quotaquotas]]s, and begins to resemble a Condorcet PR method. <ref>{{Cite web|url=https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.08023|title=The Condorcet Principle for Multiwinner Elections: From Shortlisting to Proportionality|last=|first=|date=|website=|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=|quote=A size-k committee is locally stable in an election with n voters if there is no candidate c and no group of more than n/(k+1) voters such that each voter in this group prefers c to each committee member.}}</ref>
 
This definition is more restrictive and as such has a number of undesirable situations where it eliminates all winner sets from being stable. This can happen even in super simple examples, e.g., two voters, one likes A, the other likes B, and one candidate to elect -- neither {A} nor {B} is stable. (This is not the case if the formula is done only with an >, however. Consider that the above formula is really analogous to a Hagenbach-Bischoff quota; it has been [https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hagenbach-Bischoff_quota#Disadvantage_of_Hagenbach-Bischoff_quota proposed] in STV that when using the HB quota, the rules should be modified such that a candidate must not only meet but exceed the quota to win, to avoid there being more winners than seats. Such a suggestion applies here in the form described.) (However, if all sets are blocked by at least one other set, it may still be possible to come up with the smallest set of sets that aren't blocked by any other sets, and consider this the core instead. This is analogous to the Schwartz Set, and always results in a non-empty core. In this example, both {A} and {B} are in the core under this definition because they are not blocked by any other sets, "any other" being an empty set of sets. This core produced by this definition seems to always reduce to the core produced by the original definition, when one exists.)
 
However, if all sets are blocked by at least one other set, it may still be possible to come up with the smallest set of sets that aren't blocked by any other sets and consider this the core instead. This is analogous to the Schwartz Set, and always results in a non-empty core. In this example, both {A} and {B} are in the core under this definition because they are not blocked by any other sets, "any other" being an empty set of sets. This core produced by this definition seems to always reduce to the core produced by the original definition, when one exists.
 
The biggest issue when using the Droop stability definition arises in the single-winner case, which is that the Score winner may no longer be stable. Consider the following example:
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Also, stable sets can have this "quota" computed based solely on voters who have preferences between any pair of sets that are being compared, so that in a 2-winner Approval Voting election with 67 A 33 B 10 C, the quota when looking at matchups between sets including either or both A and B is only computed off of at most the 100 voters that have preferences between them, rather than all 110. This would fix some but not all of the issues with this definition.
 
Using Droop Quotasquotas and this "only voters with preferences between the relevant sets are used to compute the quota" trick makes stable sets become a Smith-efficient Condorcet method in the single-winner case, and appear to become a Condorcet PR method in the multiwinner case (with the core being analogous to a Smith Set of winner sets). However, use of the [[KP transform]] appears to prevent this, and makes stable sets always include a degree of preference and remain a cardinal method so long as it is done on rated ballots.<ref>[https://forum.electionscience.org/t/the-concept-of-a-stable-winner-set/553/26?u=assetvotingadvocacy https://forum.electionscience.org/t/the-concept-of-a-stable-winner-set/553/26]</ref>
 
Interestingly,The the two varying modes of deciding which set a voter prefers in each pairwise matchup (evaluate a voter's preference between sets as based eitherdiscussion on either: first whether theyto haveuse athe more-preferredDroop candidate in one set, and then second more of their more-preferred candidates in that set,quota or: which set gives them more utility), as well as the discussion over whether to use Droop Quotas vs. Hare Quotasquota withinin the formula, has already been discussed before for Condorcet PR methods:<blockquote>We deferred the question of how to decide whether a voter prefers one set of ''f'' candidates over another, where a set of candidates is a subset of a committee. In [[Proportional representation]] mode, there is only one difference from the voter's perspective. The voting algorithm decides which of two committees would be preferred by a candidate using one of two criteria, ''combined weights'' or ''best candidate''.</blockquote><blockquote>The factor (''k''+1) may be surprising in the condition for proportional validity, but it actually agrees with proportional representation election methods developed elsewhere; it is analogous to the Droop quota used by many STV election methods.<ref name=":0" /></blockquote>
 
==Further reading==