Talk:Dominant mutual third set: Difference between revisions

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: I did explicitly write "This never requires more rounds of counting than the regular IRV approach (ignoring the discovery of the [[pairwise comparison matrix]])," Even if you don't want to call it a speedup, why not preserve the example in some form? Part of the reason I prefer to mention that DMT can be used to reduce rounds of counting is because it helps provide a regularity or predictability to these methods, which is important because their fickle order of elimination often makes it hard to understand them. In other words, if there's an IRV election that requires 10 rounds of counting under the regular approach but 5 with DMT, then it's less cognitively burdensome to look at it using the DMT approach. [[User:BetterVotingAdvocacy|BetterVotingAdvocacy]] ([[User talk:BetterVotingAdvocacy|talk]]) 21:48, 22 May 2020 (UTC)
 
== Electing a candidate outside the DMT set must be allowed for an honest vote. ==
 
[deleted] this was a discourse based on a misinterpretation of DMT, apologies. [[User:RalphInOttawa|RalphInOttawa]] ([[User talk:RalphInOttawa|talk]]) 0022:4854, 1931 December 2023 (UTC)
 
: Just do an edit and delete it, then save changes. [[User:Kristomun|Kristomun]] ([[User talk:Kristomun|talk]]) 17:03, 4 January 2024 (UTC)
 
== Practical Importance and Justification for DMTBR ==
I have a small but cleverly composed example:
 
Why is DMTBR important or a valuable criterion to fulfill? I get that DH3 is bad, and it would be better to avoid it, but inventing a criterion for this one specific pathology seems a bit like strategic whack-a-mole; every time we fixed one kind of strategy, another strategy for a different set of candidates opens up. What's the endgame? --[[User:Closed Limelike Curves|Closed Limelike Curves]] ([[User talk:Closed Limelike Curves|talk]]) 01:22, 22 February 2024 (UTC)
5 A>D>C
 
: A common objection to Condorcet methods is that they are vulnerable to burial. If a method passes DMTBR, it bounds the degree to which burial can affect them: basically it means that voters can't use fringe candidate as patsies to get their favored candidate elected. Now you might say that that's just one strategy of many, but consider James Green-Armytage's strategy simulations.
3 B>E>C
: He defines strategic susceptibility as that a method is strategically susceptible in an election if there exist some way for people who all support a candidate who didn't win, and who know how the others would vote, to modify their ballots so that the candidate does win. And his simulations suggest that Condorcet methods that fail DMTBR have a strategy susceptibility approaching 100% in the limit of the number of voters going to infinity, under impartial culture, whereas for methods that pass, this susceptibility approaches some finite level below 100% that depends on the number of candidates. See for instance tables 2 and 6 in his paper, [https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/32200/1/MPRA_paper_32200.pdf Strategic voting and nomination], pp. 16 and 18; and table 2 of [https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=49dba225741582cae5aabec6f1b5ff722f6fedf1 Four Condorcet-Hare Hybrid Methods for Single-Winner Elections], p. 7. Hare (IRV) and the Hare hybrids pass DMTBR, the other methods do not.
: Impartial culture is very punishing (the proportion of elections with Condorcet cycles also approaches 100% in the limit), and so may be entirely unrealistic. It's a valid objection to say that elections aren't ever going to get that messy and something like [[Minmax]] will suffice for real elections. But if DMTBR does create a finite fraction of strategy-immune elections in impartial culture, that does make DMTBR something more than "just another strategy resistance criterion", and would be of interest if you need as much strategy resistance as you can get.
: I guess intuitively you could say that Condorcet patches up compromise incentive and DMTBR patches up burial incentive, and the latter patch-up holds even in elections with tons of near-ties. ''Very'' roughly.
: Simple DMTBR methods like [[instant-runoff voting]] have much too high compromise incentive, so I prefer Condorcet methods.
: My own simulations suggest that what's actually important to get a nonzero fraction of strategy-immune elections in impartial culture is [[resistant set]] compliance. In that case, DMTBR's interest would broadly be as a clone-resistant generalization of resistant set. But I haven't proven this beyond a few burial immunity results for the resistant set. [[User:Kristomun|Kristomun]] ([[User talk:Kristomun|talk]]) 12:38, 22 February 2024 (UTC)
:: "Bounding the (IAC) probability that an election can be manipulated" seems like a ''great'' justification! It's intuitive and important. Maybe this should be placed front-and-center in the article?
 
:: I don't think I have the experience or game-theory knowledge to prove results like this, but I've wanted a table of P(manipulation) values for a long time. Even better would be something like VSE lost to manipulation; ideally these would select the utility lost in the worst-case Myerson-Webb or Strong Nash equilibrium. (Condorcet seems to reduce the number of elections that voters can manipulate, but might make the outcome worse when they ''are'' manipulated; so probability methods are going to be somewhat, but not totally, convincing.) The issue is that tackling all these issues by creating separate criteria (Chicken, DMTBR, etc.) one-by-one is going to take, well, literally forever by Gibbard's theorem. --[[User:Closed Limelike Curves|Closed Limelike Curves]] ([[User talk:Closed Limelike Curves|talk]]) 18:47, 23 February 2024 (UTC)
2 B>A>C
 
5 C>E
 
2 D>E>A
 
1 D>C>E>B
 
2 E>B>C
 
IRV elects B. Condorcet methods, like Copeland, find a Condorcet Winner, electing C.
 
In addressing the shortcomings of IRV, I have a runoff voting process that will elect E despite Candidate C being the Condorcet winner. If being a Condorcet Winner was an overriding condition of victory, the 3 B > E > C supporters will be extremely reluctant to vote for C. When these three votes change to B>E, there is no Condorcet winner. Voters should not be given any reason to do that. This example demonstrates that a fair voting process must allow itself to fairly count honest opinions as cast on the ballots and accept the possibility that a candidate from outside the Dominant Mutual Third Set can be elected.
 
[[User:RalphInOttawa|RalphInOttawa]] ([[User talk:RalphInOttawa|talk]]) 00:48, 19 December 2023 (UTC)
 
: While C is no longer a Condorcet winner after this modification, he is still a member of the Smith set, and the Smith set is a subset of the DMT set. Thus a Condorcet method that passes Smith (and thus DMT) could elect C both before and after, thus giving no incentive to use that strategy. (Also note that when there is a Condorcet winner, he is always part of the DMT set.) For instance, [[Schulze]], which passes Smith, elects C after truncation: see [https://munsterhjelm.no/km/rbvote/calc.html Rob LeGrand's ranked-ballot voting calculator].
 
: More broadly speaking, Condorcet is incompatible with [[later-no-help]] and [[later-no-harm]]. So you can't pass Condorcet and never have situations where truncation pays off. But that's not related to the DMT set as such - IRV itself passes both later-no-help and later-no-harm and elects from the DMT set. [[User:Kristomun|Kristomun]] ([[User talk:Kristomun|talk]]) 13:16, 20 December 2023 (UTC)