2009 Burlington mayoral election: Difference between revisions

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(→‎Infographic: changing the section header, and attempting to use my new template)
(→‎Infographic: VisualEditor mauled this page, but I think the diff is still vaguely readable. In short, the big changes are in the #Infographic section, where I'm messing with the infographic links. A lot of wikitext whitespace was taken out by VisualEditor, and I added a #Footnotes section while I was reviewing the diffs, since VisualEditor put the "references" tag in without me asking for it.)
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== Infographic ==
== Infographic ==
[[File:Burlington2009election-infosheet.png|alt=visual depiction of pairwise results in 2009|thumb|388x388px|Source file: [[:File:Burlington2009election-infosheet.svg]]]]
{{hashtag|hashtag=Visual depiction of IRV results}}
{{hashtag|hashtag=Visual depiction of IRV results}}


Below is an infographic which attempts to put everything in a one-page result:
To the right is an infographic which attempts to clearly depict the pairwise results in a tidy SVG diagram. Well, actually, it's a scaled down PNG, so it's a little hard to read. If you click it. it'll expand.


:
[[File:Burlington2009election-infosheet.png|frameless|none|700px]]


<br />
== Further analysis ==
[[File:Burlington2009election-infosheet.png|alt=visual depiction of pairwise results in 2009|center|thumb|906x906px|Source file: [[:File:Burlington2009election-infosheet.svg]]]]


* [http://bolson.org/~bolson/2009/20090303_burlington_vt_mayor.html Brian Olson's analysis of the election]


==Further analysis==
== Pairwise results ==

*[http://bolson.org/~bolson/2009/20090303_burlington_vt_mayor.html Brian Olson's analysis of the election]

==Pairwise results==


This is the results of the Burlington, Vermont mayoral election of 2009.
This is the results of the Burlington, Vermont mayoral election of 2009.


Pairwise tallies for each of the candidates are available on the following subpages:
Pairwise tallies for each of the candidates are available on the following subpages:
* [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Kiss Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Bob Kiss (P) voters]]
* [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Montroll Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Andy Montroll (D) voters]]
* [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Smith Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Dan Smith (I) voters]]
* [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Wright Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Kurt Wright (R) voters]]


*[[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Kiss Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Bob Kiss (P) voters]]
== Results with Copeland and First-Past-the-Post ==
*[[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Montroll Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Andy Montroll (D) voters]]
*[[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Smith Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Dan Smith (I) voters]]
*[[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election - Wright Voters|Schulze (Condorcet) results among Kurt Wright (R) voters]]

==Results with Copeland and First-Past-the-Post==


Below are the theoretical results of using different mechanisms other than IRV.
Below are the theoretical results of using different mechanisms other than IRV.
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2009 Burlington mayoral election
2009 Burlington mayoral election


* Election Format Version: 0.1
*Election Format Version: 0.1
* Candidates:
*Candidates:
** Bob Kiss (Progressive)
**Bob Kiss (Progressive)
** Andy Montroll (Democrat)
**Andy Montroll (Democrat)
** Dan Smith (Independent)
**Dan Smith (Independent)
** James Simpson (Green)
**James Simpson (Green)
** Write-in
**Write-in
** Kurt Wright (Republican)
**Kurt Wright (Republican)


== Ballots ==
==Ballots==


Total votes: 8980
Total votes: 8980
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(see [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election data]] for the raw ballots used to generate the results below).
(see [[2009 Burlington, Vermont Mayoral Election data]] for the raw ballots used to generate the results below).


== Results ==
==Results==


=== Copeland method ===
===Copeland method===


The winner using the [[Copeland method]] is '''Montroll'''
The winner using the [[Copeland method]] is '''Montroll'''


==== Detailed Results ====
====Detailed Results====


In Copeland, the candidate which beats all other candidates in pairwise matchups wins the election. In the event no such candidate exists, the candidate with the best win-loss-tie record wins the election.
In Copeland, the candidate which beats all other candidates in pairwise matchups wins the election. In the event no such candidate exists, the candidate with the best win-loss-tie record wins the election.
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{|
{|
|width="33%"|
| width="33%" |
'''Bob Kiss (Progressive)'''
'''Bob Kiss (Progressive)'''
{|
{|
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 3477
|3477
| to
|to
| 4067
|4067
| vs. Montroll
|vs. Montroll
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 3946
|3946
| to
|to
| 3577
|3577
| vs. Smith
|vs. Smith
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 5517
|5517
| to
|to
| 845
|845
| vs. Simpson
|vs. Simpson
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 6149
|6149
| to
|to
| 116
|116
| vs. Write-in
|vs. Write-in
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 4314
|4314
| to
|to
| 4064
|4064
| vs. Wright
|vs. Wright
|}
|}
|width="33%"|
| width="33%" |
'''Andy Montroll (Democrat)'''
'''Andy Montroll (Democrat)'''
{|
{|
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 4067
|4067
| to
|to
| 3477
|3477
| vs. Kiss
|vs. Kiss
|-
|-
|
|
Line 112: Line 118:


|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 4573
|4573
| to
|to
| 2998
|2998
| vs. Smith
|vs. Smith
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 6267
|6267
| to
|to
| 591
|591
| vs. Simpson
|vs. Simpson
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 6658
|6658
| to
|to
| 104
|104
| vs. Write-in
|vs. Write-in
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 4597
|4597
| to
|to
| 3668
|3668
| vs. Wright
|vs. Wright
|}
|}
|width="33%"|
| width="33%" |
'''Dan Smith (Independent)'''
'''Dan Smith (Independent)'''
{|
{|
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 3577
|3577
| to
|to
| 3946
|3946
| vs. Kiss
|vs. Kiss
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 2998
|2998
| to
|to
| 4573
|4573
| vs. Montroll
|vs. Montroll
|-
|-
|
|
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|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 5573
|5573
| to
|to
| 721
|721
| vs. Simpson
|vs. Simpson
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 6057
|6057
| to
|to
| 117
|117
| vs. Write-in
|vs. Write-in
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 3793
|3793
| to
|to
| 3975
|3975
| vs. Wright
|vs. Wright
|}
|}
|-
|-
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'''James Simpson (Green)'''
'''James Simpson (Green)'''
{|
{|
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 845
|845
| to
|to
| 5517
|5517
| vs. Kiss
|vs. Kiss
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 591
|591
| to
|to
| 6267
|6267
| vs. Montroll
|vs. Montroll
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 721
|721
| to
|to
| 5573
|5573
| vs. Smith
|vs. Smith
|-
|-
|
|
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|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 3338
|3338
| to
|to
| 165
|165
| vs. Write-in
|vs. Write-in
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 1309
|1309
| to
|to
| 5274
|5274
| vs. Wright
|vs. Wright
|}
|}
|
|
'''Write-in'''
'''Write-in'''
{|
{|
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 116
|116
| to
|to
| 6149
|6149
| vs. Kiss
|vs. Kiss
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 104
|104
| to
|to
| 6658
|6658
| vs. Montroll
|vs. Montroll
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 117
|117
| to
|to
| 6057
|6057
| vs. Smith
|vs. Smith
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 165
|165
| to
|to
| 3338
|3338
| vs. Simpson
|vs. Simpson
|-
|-
|
|
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|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 163
|163
| to
|to
| 6063
|6063
| vs. Wright
|vs. Wright
|}
|}
|
|
'''Kurt Wright (Republican)'''
'''Kurt Wright (Republican)'''
{|
{|
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 4064
|4064
| to
|to
| 4314
|4314
| vs. Kiss
|vs. Kiss
|-
|-
| '''Loss'''
|'''Loss'''
| 3668
|3668
| to
|to
| 4597
|4597
| vs. Montroll
|vs. Montroll
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 3975
|3975
| to
|to
| 3793
|3793
| vs. Smith
|vs. Smith
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 5274
|5274
| to
|to
| 1309
|1309
| vs. Simpson
|vs. Simpson
|-
|-
| '''Win'''
|'''Win'''
| 6063
|6063
| to
|to
| 163
|163
| vs. Write-in
|vs. Write-in
|-
|-
|
|
Line 317: Line 323:
Win-Loss-Ties:
Win-Loss-Ties:


* Montroll: 5-0-0
*Montroll: 5-0-0
* Kiss: 4-1-0
*Kiss: 4-1-0
* Wright: 3-2-0
*Wright: 3-2-0
* Smith: 2-3-0
*Smith: 2-3-0
* Simpson: 1-4-0
*Simpson: 1-4-0
* Write-in: 0-5-0
*Write-in: 0-5-0


=== Plurality (a.k.a. First Past the Post) ===
===Plurality (a.k.a. First Past the Post)===


The winner using the [[Plurality]] is '''Wright'''.
The winner using the [[Plurality]] is '''Wright'''.


==== Detailed Results ====
====Detailed Results====


The results below were calculated using [[Plurality]] (a.k.a. First Past the Post). When using ballots that allow for ratings, the top rated candidate is chosen. If there is more than one candidate with the highest rating, the ballot is considered invalid and is not counted.
The results below were calculated using [[Plurality]] (a.k.a. First Past the Post). When using ballots that allow for ratings, the top rated candidate is chosen. If there is more than one candidate with the highest rating, the ballot is considered invalid and is not counted.
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!
!


! Total Score
!Total Score
|-
|-
| Bob Kiss (Progressive)
|Bob Kiss (Progressive)
| 2585
|2585
|-
|-
| Andy Montroll (Democrat)
|Andy Montroll (Democrat)
| 2063
|2063
|-
|-
| Dan Smith (Independent)
|Dan Smith (Independent)
| 1306
|1306
|-
|-
| James Simpson (Green)
|James Simpson (Green)
| 35
|35
|-
|-
| Write-in
|Write-in
| 36
|36
|-
|-
| Kurt Wright (Republican)
|Kurt Wright (Republican)
| 2951
|2951
|}
|}

== Footnotes ==
<references />

[[Category:IRV elections]]
[[Category:IRV elections]]
[[Category:Vermont]]
[[Category:Vermont]]