2012 Occupy Wall Street polls: Difference between revisions

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== Preliminary pilot study ==
== Preliminary pilot study ==
They first polled about 320 people at Occupy protest sites and events around Manhattan, in the spring of 2012, to test the software and people's reactions.<ref name=":1" />
They first polled 316 people at Occupy protest sites and events around Manhattan, in the spring of 2012, to test the software and people's reactions.<ref name=":1" />


No adjustment was made to correct for the unrepresentativeness of the Occupy voters; it was just to compare voting behavior under different systems.<ref name=":0">https://electology.org/podcasts/2012-08-20_tj_rawls</ref>
In this poll, voters selected a candidate under Plurality voting, and then were randomly assigned two of the other voting systems.<ref name=":2">https://electology.org/sites/default/files/Full%20Report.pdf</ref>

"If this year's elections were held today, what party's candidates would you favor?" with candidates:<ref name=":2" />
* Democratic Party
* Green Party
* Independent candidates
* Republican Party
* Libertarian Party
* Socialist Party
* A write-in option
No adjustment was made to correct for the unrepresentativeness of the voters; who were primarily OWS participants;<ref name=":2" /> it was just to compare voting behavior under different systems.<ref name=":0">https://electology.org/podcasts/2012-08-20_tj_rawls</ref>


The votes were tallied by hand, and it was much easier to tally the Approval and Score votes than the Instant-Runoff votes (which required 13 elimination rounds to find a winner).<ref name=":0" />
The votes were tallied by hand, and it was much easier to tally the Approval and Score votes than the Instant-Runoff votes (which required 13 elimination rounds to find a winner).<ref name=":0" />

The Democratic Party won the plurality election by a small margin, with a total of 35% of the votes. The Green Party won under the other 3 methods.<ref name=":2" />


== Exit poll ==
== Exit poll ==
On Election Day, November 6, 2012, they polled over 300 voters using custom software on ipads in Manhattan's left-leaning 69th Assembly District.
On Election Day, November 6, 2012, they polled over 300 voters using custom software on iPads in Manhattan's left-leaning 69th Assembly District.

In this poll, every voter participated in all 4 voting systems.<ref name=":2" />


No adjustment was made to correct for the unrepresentativeness of the district, though polling only took place in a single district, so that the poll's plurality results could be compared with the results of the actual election in that district (and they were well-correlated).<ref name=":1" />
No adjustment was made to correct for the unrepresentativeness of the district, though polling only took place in a single district, so that the poll's plurality results could be compared with the results of the actual election in that district (and they were well-correlated).<ref name=":1" />
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{{Reflist}}
{{Reflist}}
http://manhattanlp.org/occupy-wall-streets-tj-frawley-on-how-to-fix-the-us-electoral-system/
http://manhattanlp.org/occupy-wall-streets-tj-frawley-on-how-to-fix-the-us-electoral-system/

https://electology.org/podcasts/2012-08-20_tj_rawls

https://electology.org/podcasts/2013-05-27_tj_frawls

https://electology.org/sites/default/files/Full%20Report.pdf


http://web.archive.org/web/20130728110015/http://www.paercom.net/downloads/files/Press%20Release.pdf
http://web.archive.org/web/20130728110015/http://www.paercom.net/downloads/files/Press%20Release.pdf

Revision as of 12:47, 21 September 2018

In 2012, the Politics and Electoral Reform Working Group of Occupy Wall Street conducted experimental surveys in New York City to investigate how voters behave under four different voting methods: Plurality voting, Approval voting, Score voting (0-5), and Instant-Runoff Voting (with top-3 ballots).[1]

Preliminary pilot study

They first polled 316 people at Occupy protest sites and events around Manhattan, in the spring of 2012, to test the software and people's reactions.[1]

In this poll, voters selected a candidate under Plurality voting, and then were randomly assigned two of the other voting systems.[2]

"If this year's elections were held today, what party's candidates would you favor?" with candidates:[2]

  • Democratic Party
  • Green Party
  • Independent candidates
  • Republican Party
  • Libertarian Party
  • Socialist Party
  • A write-in option

No adjustment was made to correct for the unrepresentativeness of the voters; who were primarily OWS participants;[2] it was just to compare voting behavior under different systems.[3]

The votes were tallied by hand, and it was much easier to tally the Approval and Score votes than the Instant-Runoff votes (which required 13 elimination rounds to find a winner).[3]

The Democratic Party won the plurality election by a small margin, with a total of 35% of the votes. The Green Party won under the other 3 methods.[2]

Exit poll

On Election Day, November 6, 2012, they polled over 300 voters using custom software on iPads in Manhattan's left-leaning 69th Assembly District.

In this poll, every voter participated in all 4 voting systems.[2]

No adjustment was made to correct for the unrepresentativeness of the district, though polling only took place in a single district, so that the poll's plurality results could be compared with the results of the actual election in that district (and they were well-correlated).[1]

Candidates: Obama; Romney; Jill Stein (Green Party); Peta Lindsay (Socialism and Liberation Party); Gary Johnson (Libertarian); Virgil Goode (Constitution Party)[1]

References

http://manhattanlp.org/occupy-wall-streets-tj-frawley-on-how-to-fix-the-us-electoral-system/

http://web.archive.org/web/20130728110015/http://www.paercom.net/downloads/files/Press%20Release.pdf